Texas Democrats cite reduced in-person campaigning, inefficient turnout effort for 2020 results

Party projects with 'sufficient investment and ambition, Texas can be a reliably Democratic state in the next decade'

A new Democratic Party analysis determined that “despite record turnout, our collective Get Out The Vote (“GOTV”) turnout operation did not activate Democratic voters to the same extent Republicans were able to activate their base.”

The report, authored by the Party’s director of data science, Hudson Cavanagh, said the COVID-19 pandemic prevented Democrats from “getting the most out of our most powerful competitive advantage: our volunteers.”

The analysis found that Democrats struggled to reach voters for whom “we did not have phone numbers, who were disproportionately young, rural and folks of color.”

Despite some worrying trends, the report said Latinos did not abandon Democrats.

“Latino Republicans turned out at a higher rate than Latino Democrats. Although the Rio Grande Valley supported President Trump more than prior cycles, this pattern did not apply to the majority of Latino voters in Texas.”

The analysis argues that Democrats “need to improve how we connect with Latino Texans, inside and outside the Rio Grande Valley. We need to massively expand our voter registration ambitions.”

From 2018 to 2020, Democrats lost ground in terms of voter registration, the report said, losing about 26,000 net votes. But the report notes that there are more than enough potential registrants to flip the state “if we invest in and execute effective programs at scale.”

The  report argues that if Democrats respond to these challenges, “our 2020 margin quickly becomes surmountable.”

“The goal is not to win one individual election,” the report concludes. “With sufficient investment and ambition, Texas can be a reliably Democratic state in the next decade.”


See the full 2020-Texas-Election-Data-Analysis